Investors, especially Boomers, want two things: Safety and Income. In the quest to achieve these goals, they took $233 billion out of equity funds and put $559 billion into bond funds from January 2008 to June 2010. Was this a good idea?
Two famous professors from the Wharton School of Business, Drs. Jeremy Siegel and Jeremy Schwartz, don't think so. In an article, "The Great American Bond Bubble," published in Wednesday's Wall Street Journal, page A17, they claim that bond prices are way too high and are fixing to come tumbling down just as internet stocks did in 2000. Mr. David Rosenberg, former Chief Investment Strategist at Merrill Lynch, thinks the "Two Jeremies" are dead wrong, saying that bond prices won't come down anytime soon. (See
http://www.businessinsider.com/david-rosenberg-on-the-bond-bubble-2010-8.) Mr. Rosenberg believes deflation is likely to come upon us and low interest yields on totally safe T-Bonds will be looking awfully good compared to negative inflation rates. My position is that Mr. Rosenberg may be right, but I'm not interested in investing my money on a 1 or 2% return.
The "Two Jeremies" suggest that investors consider buying stocks of solid companies such as AT&T, which have a relatively high yield, currently 6.23% on 08/19/10. Mr. Rosenberg doesn't totally disagree with this, but wonders why an investor can't invest in safe government bonds and "safe" stocks. This sounds OK, but who can be satisfied with a return of less than 10% on their money?
I've done a lot of research on retirement strategies since receiving an email last summer from a subscriber requesting assistance in this area, and there's one thing I know for sure. You're never going to get the 10% return you want by buying low yield bonds and so called "high yield" stocks. Actually, I knew this from the moment I wrote my first retirement strategy essay last September. That's why two of the four strategies I described involved the technique of selling Covered Calls on dividend paying stocks. This technique was featured as our "Strategy of the Week" presentation on September 25, 2009 and it has been featured several times since then.
On June 4, 2010, I wrote an essay called, "The PayDay Portfolio." This essay reiterated my conviction that selling Covered Calls on stocks paying high dividends is a relatively safe, practical way of generating 20-30% return on your money. You need to know how to trade Options, however, to properly implement this technique. Therefore, we have illustrated the basic technique several times as the "Strategy of the Week" presentation. (See the SOTW presentations of 09/25/09, 03/26/10, 05/14/10, 07/23/10 and 07/30/10.) We also made it a bonus presentation in our Options Course and have made it available to options savvy subscribers via the purchase of a special PayDay Portfolio Report.
As of yesterday's close, a backtest of a hypothetical $100,000 PayDay Portfolio started on January 8, 2010 shows a Total Value of $130,035.95. I have been trading Covered Calls with real money for several months now in accordance with the rules described in the PayDay Portfolio Report and I'm satisfied that it's the best way I know of achieving both Safety and Income.
TAMING THE TIGER WITH COVERED CALLS.
Ever since the so called "Flash Crash" of May 6, 2010, the stock market has shown manic-depressive behavior, going back and forth from euphoria to depression on the slightest bit of news. It's been hard to make money by going either long or short, but the strategy of selling Covered Calls does both at the same time. So visit the VectorVest University to see Mr. Glenn Tompkins, Manager of Educational Services, illustrate how it is done in this week's rewarding "Strategy of the Week" presentation, "Taming the Tiger with Covered Calls."
THE $1000.00 AWARD CHALLENGE.
We believe we have a winner, but we need more time to check the results. If it pans out the way we think it will, we will give you the details next week.