Apple Inc (AAPL) Stock Forecast & Analysis

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STOCK ANALYSIS
Friday, September 30, 2022
AAPL
Apple Inc
Computer (Makers)
$138.20
-4.28 [-3.00 %]
Business Description: Apple, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables and accessories, and other variety of related services. It operates through the following geographical segments: Americas, Europe, Greater China, Japan, and Rest of Asia Pacific.
STOCK GRAPH (3 months)
INDUSTRY GRAPH (3 months)
VECTORVEST SUMMARY
AAPL is overvalued, has about average safety, and is currently rated a Sell.
RECOMMENDATION (REC)
SELL
REC reflects the cumulative effect of all the VectorVest parameters working together. These parameters are designed to help investors buy safe, undervalued stocks rising in price.
VALUE
Current Price: $138.20
Current Value: $94.21
AAPL has a current Value of $94.21 per share; compared to a Price of $138.20 per share, this stock is currently overvalued. Value is computed from forecasted earnings per share, forecasted earnings growth, profitability, interest, and inflation rates.
UPSIDE POTENTIAL (Relative Value/RV)
FAIR
RV is an indicator of long-term price appreciation potential. AAPL has an RV of 1.05, which is fair on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. This indicator is far superior to a simple comparison of Price and Value because it is computed from an analysis of projected price appreciation three years out, AAA Corporate Bond Rates, and risk.
SAFETY (Relative Safety/RS)
GOOD
RS is an indicator of risk. AAPL has an RS of 1.10, which is good on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. RS is computed from an analysis of the consistency and predictability of a company's financial performance, debt to equity ratio, sales volume, business longevity, price volatility and other factors.
TIMING (Relative Timing/RT)
POOR
RT analyzes a stock's price trend. AAPL has a Relative Timing of 0.68, which is poor on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. RT is computed from an analysis of the direction, magnitude, and dynamics of a stock's price movements day-over-day, week-over-week, quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year. If a trend dissipates, RT will gravitate toward 1.00.
OVERALL RATING (Value-Safety-Timing/VST)
FAIR
VST is the master indicator for ranking every stock in the VectorVest database. AAPL has a VST rating of 0.95, which is fair on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. VST is computed from the square root of a weighted sum of the squares of RV, RS, and RT. Stocks with the highest VST ratings have the best combinations of Value, Safety and Timing.
STOP (Stop-Price)
Stop Price: $141.56
Stop is an indicator of when to sell a position. AAPL has a Stop of $141.56 per share. A stock's Stop is computed from a 13 week moving average of its closing prices, and is fine-tuned according to the stock's fundamentals.
CI (Comfort Index)
POOR
CI is an indicator which reflects a stock's ability to resist severe and/or lengthy price declines. AAPL has a CI of 0.50, which is poor on a scale of 0.00 to 2.00. CI is based solely upon a stock's long-term price history.

GRT (Earnings Growth Rate): GRT reflects a company's one to three year forecasted earnings growth rate in percent per year. AAPL has a forecasted Earnings Growth Rate of 17.00 %, which VectorVest considers to be very good.

EPS (Earnings per Share): EPS stands for leading 12 months Earnings Per Share. AAPL has a forecasted EPS of $6.22 per share. VectorVest determines this forecast from a combination of recent earnings performance and traditional fiscal and/or calendar year earnings forecasts.

P/E (Price to Earnings Ratio): P/E shows the dollars required to buy one dollar of earnings. AAPL has a P/E of 22.22. The average P/E of all the stocks in the VectorVest database is 36.36.

EY (Earnings Yield): EY reflects earnings per share as a percent of Price. AAPL has an EY of 4.50 %. This is above the current average of 2.75 % for all the stocks in the VectorVest database.

GPE (Growth to P/E Ratio):  AAPL has a GPE rating of 0.77. This stock, with a GPE less than 1.00, is commonly considered to be overvalued.

DIV (Dividend):   VectorVest reports annual, regular, cash dividends as indicated by the most recent payments. Special distributions, one-time payments, stock dividends, etc., are not generally included in DIV. AAPL pays an annual dividend of $0.92 per share.

DY (Dividend Yield): DY reflects dividend per share as a percent of Price. AAPL has a Dividend Yield of 0.67 %. This is below the current average of 1.25 % for all the stocks in the VectorVest database. DY equals 100 x (DIV/Price). It is useful to compare DY with EY. If DY is not significantly lower than EY, the dividend payment may be in jeopardy.

DS (Dividend Safety): DS is an indicator of the assurance that regular cash dividends will be declared and paid at current or at higher rates for the foreseeable future. AAPL has a Dividend Safety of 77, which is excellent on a scale of 0 to 99. Stocks with DS values above 75 typically have RS values well above 1.00 and EY levels that are much higher than DY.

DG (Dividend Growth Rate): Dividend Growth is a forecasted annual growth rate of a company's dividend based on historical dividend payments and dividend predictability. It is a subtle yet important indicator of a company's financial performance. It also provides some insight into the board's outlook on the company's ability to increase earnings. AAPL has a Dividend Growth of 12.00 %. This is above the current average of 7.00 % for all the stocks in the VectorVest database.

YSG (YSG-Vector): YSG is an indicator which combines DY, DS and DG into a single value, and allows direct comparison of all dividend-paying stocks in the database. AAPL has a YSG Rating of 1.02, which is fair. Stocks with the highest YSG values have the best combinations of Dividend Yield, Safety and Growth. These are the stocks to buy for somewhat above current income and long-term growth.

AvgVol:  AvgVol is the 50 day moving average of daily volume as computed by VectorVest. AAPL has an AvgVol of 78,729,843 shares traded per day.

%Vol:  %Vol reflects the percent change in today's trading volume as compared to the AvgVol. %Vol equals ((Volume - AvgVol) / AvgVol ) * 100. AAPL had a %Vol of 57.24 % on Friday, September 30, 2022

%PRC: AAPL Price changed -3.00 % from the prior day's closing price.

Sales: AAPL has annual sales of 387,542,000,000

Sales Growth: Sales Growth is the Sales Growth Rate in percent over the last 12 months. AAPL has a Sales Growth of 2.00 % per year. This is poor.

Sales Per Share (SPS): AAPL has annual sales of $24.11 per share.

Price to Sales Ratio (P/S): AAPL has a P/S of 5.73.

Shares: AAPL has 16,070,000,000 shares of stock outstanding.

Market Capitalization: AAPL has a Market Capitalization of 2,220,984,000,000.

Business Sector: AAPL has been assigned to the Computer Business Sector. VectorVest classifies stocks into over 200 Industry Groups and 40 Business Sectors.

Industry Group: AAPL has been assigned to the Computer (Makers) Industry Group. VectorVest classifies stocks into over 200 Industry Groups and 40 Business Sectors.

 

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